{"id":989,"date":"2019-02-16T16:13:00","date_gmt":"2019-02-16T07:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/?p=989"},"modified":"2022-10-25T16:51:57","modified_gmt":"2022-10-25T07:51:57","slug":"201902-result","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/2019\/02\/16\/989\/","title":{"rendered":"2019 m. vasario m\u0117n. \u201eDangi\u0161kojo susid\u016brimo ir branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173\u201c rezultatai"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019 m. vasario m\u0117n. stendinis prane\u0161imas Kioto universiteto kosmoso padalinio simpoziume \u201eGalutinis branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 pasirinkimas siekiant i\u0161vengti dangaus susid\u016brim\u0173 (nuoroda \u012f plakat\u0105)<\/a>Balsavimo rezultatus skelbsime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160io balsavimo rezultatai yra tokie, kad vis\u0173 pirma, balsavusi\u0173 dalyvi\u0173 skai\u010dius buvo neobjektyvus su kosmosu susijusiems ir turintiems stipri\u0173 interes\u0173, o j\u0173 skai\u010dius buvo ma\u017eas (yra imties problema), antra, klausimai svyravo nuo nuo didelio skubumo iki ma\u017eo skubumo problem\u0173 negalima apibendrinti, nes yra didel\u0117 tikimyb\u0117, kad atsakymas \u012f ankstesn\u012f klausim\u0105 bus paveiktas (toks poveikis kaip pakeitimas popieriais ir pa\u017einimo disonansas). Ta\u010diau manau, kad tai bus pavyzdys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1 klausimas: prie \u017dem\u0117s art\u0117ja asteroidas. D\u0117l v\u0117lyvo atradimo vienintel\u0117 galimyb\u0117 i\u0161vengti susid\u016brimo su \u017deme yra panaudoti branduolin\u012f ginkl\u0105 asteroido orbitai nukreipti. (Tai n\u0117ra asteroido sunaikinimas.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ar palaikote branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 naudojim\u0105 siekiant i\u0161vengti konflikt\u0173?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-39 balsai u\u017e branduolinio ginklo naudojim\u0105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 9 balsai prie\u0161 branduolinio ginklo naudojim\u0105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2 klausimas Yra asteroidas Bennu, kuris gali susidurti su \u017deme 22 am\u017eiuje. Taip pat yra tikimyb\u0117, kad ateityje neatrastas asteroidas susidurs su \u017deme. Be to, yra tikimyb\u0117, kad prognoz\u0117 bus klaidinga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 tur\u0117jimas siekiant i\u0161vengti konflikt\u0173 i\u0161laiko branduolinio karo rizik\u0105 ir yra brangus i\u0161laikyti. Be to, atsirado pagreitis branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 panaikinimui, nes 2017 m. buvo sudaryta Branduolinio ginklo u\u017edraudimo sutartis (pagrindin\u0117s \u0161alys, tokios kaip Japonija, jos nepasira\u0161\u0117), o Tarptautin\u0117 branduolinio ginklo panaikinimo kampanija (ICAN) laim\u0117jo Nobelio premija.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ar remiate branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 egzistavim\u0105, pagr\u012fst\u0105 neai\u0161kia rizika?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-25 balsai u\u017e branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 egzistavim\u0105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

-21 balsas prie\u0161 branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 egzistavim\u0105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taip pat skelbsime ranka ra\u0161ytus komentarus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2019\u5e742\u6708\u306b\u3001\u4eac\u5927\u5b87\u5b99\u30e6\u30cb\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u30b7\u30f3\u30dd\u30b8\u30a6\u30e0\u3067\u306e\u30dd\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u767a\u8868\u300c\u5929\u4f53\u885d\u7a81\u56de\u907f\u306e\u6838\u5175\u5668\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7a76\u6975\u306e\u9078\u629e\uff08\u30dd\u30b9\u30bf […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":136335720,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[124847],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-124847"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pdK9kd-fX","jetpack-related-posts":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/989","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/136335720"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=989"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/989\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1775,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/989\/revisions\/1775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=989"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=989"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hardestchoice.org\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=989"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}